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Augsburg vs Freiburg prediction and preview (31 Oct 2026)

Published: 30 October 2026 · Updated: 31 October 2026

Augsburg–Freiburg

Augsburg vs Freiburg is on the Bundesliga schedule for Saturday 31 October 2026 (23:30 UTC). We have put together the model's probabilities and how both sides have performed in their recent matches.

Final result

Augsburg 1 – 2 Freiburg

The match finished Augsburg 1-2 Freiburg. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Augsburg (41%); that call did not come off. The model had given the actual result a 33% chance. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Augsburg40.9%
Draw25.9%
Freiburg33.2%

The probabilities are close together: Augsburg 41%, draw 26%, Freiburg 33%. Small details could decide this one.

Recent form

AugsburgLast 5 matches
  1. D
  2. L
  3. D
  4. L
  5. D

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
2
FreiburgLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. D
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals scored · per match
Augsburg2
Freiburg2.2
Goals conceded · per match
Augsburg2.4
Freiburg1.6

Shared goals scale: 0–2.4 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
Augsburg3
Freiburg7

Freiburg come in with the better recent form (7 points to 3). Their combined scoring average is 4.2 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
Augsburg1,503.4
Freiburg1,531.9

Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 28.5. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Augsburg sit at 1503 and Freiburg at 1532. The two teams are very close on this rating. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.