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Ath. Bilbao vs R. Sociedad prediction and preview (1 Nov 2026)

Published: 31 October 2026 · Updated: 1 November 2026

Ath. Bilbao–R. Sociedad

Ath. Bilbao host R. Sociedad in the LaLiga on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC. Here is how the MatchScoreAI statistical model sees the match before a ball is kicked.

Final result

Ath. Bilbao 2 – 1 R. Sociedad

The match finished Ath. Bilbao 2-1 R. Sociedad. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Ath. Bilbao (42%); that call was correct. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Ath. Bilbao41.9%
Draw26.1%
R. Sociedad32%

The probabilities are close together: Ath. Bilbao 42%, draw 26%, R. Sociedad 32%. Small details could decide this one.

Recent form

Ath. BilbaoLast 5 matches
  1. D
  2. D
  3. D
  4. L
  5. W

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1
R. SociedadLast 5 matches
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
1
Goals scored · per match
Ath. Bilbao1.2
R. Sociedad2.6
Goals conceded · per match
Ath. Bilbao0.8
R. Sociedad2

Shared goals scale: 0–2.6 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
Ath. Bilbao6
R. Sociedad12

R. Sociedad come in with the better recent form (12 points to 6). Their combined scoring average is 3.8 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
Ath. Bilbao1,476.6
R. Sociedad1,524.3

Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 47.8. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Ath. Bilbao sit at 1477 and R. Sociedad at 1524. R. Sociedad hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.