Atalanta vs Venezia prediction and preview (12 Oct 2026)
Atalanta vs Venezia is on the Serie A schedule for Monday 12 October 2026 (16:30 UTC). We have put together the model's probabilities and how both sides have performed in their recent matches.
Final result
Atalanta 3 – 1 Venezia
The match finished Atalanta 3-1 Venezia. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Atalanta (61%); that call was correct. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.
What the model says
The model sees a clear edge for Atalanta: a 61% chance of a Atalanta win, against 12% for Venezia and 28% for a draw.
Recent form
Atalanta: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 (W-W-L-L-L; most recent on the right), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.4 per game.
Venezia: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in the last 5 (L-L-L-L-L; most recent on the right), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.6 per game.
Atalanta come in with the better recent form (6 points to 0). Their combined scoring average is 1.8 goals per game, suggesting tighter matches lately.
Strength comparison
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Atalanta sit at 1524 and Venezia at 1408. Atalanta hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.