Ario vs Naft BA prediction and preview (20 Oct 2026)
Ario–
Naft BAArio vs Naft BA is on the Azadegan Ligi schedule for Tuesday 20 October 2026 (13:15 UTC). We have put together the model's probabilities and how both sides have performed in their recent matches.
Final result
Ario 3 – 0 Naft BA
The match finished Ario 3-0 Naft BA. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a draw (38%); that call did not come off. The model had given the actual result a 35% chance. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.
What the model says
The model expects a balanced game: home 35%, draw 38%, away 28%. A draw probability this high means it sees no clear gap between the two sides.
Recent form
- L
- W
- W
- L
- W
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 0
- Losses
- 2
- D
- W
- D
- L
- D
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 3
- Losses
- 1
Shared goals scale: 0–1 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
Ario come in with the better recent form (9 points to 6). Their combined scoring average is 1.8 goals per game, suggesting tighter matches lately.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 6.6. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Ario sit at 1512 and Naft BA at 1519. The two teams are very close on this rating. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.