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Ards vs Moyola Park prediction and preview (13 Nov 2026)

Published: 12 November 2026

Ards–Moyola Park

Ards host Moyola Park in the IFA Şampiyonluk on Friday 13 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC. Here is how the MatchScoreAI statistical model sees the match before a ball is kicked.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Ards49%
Draw28.5%
Moyola Park22.4%

Ards go in as slight favourites (49%). A Moyola Park win is rated at 22% and a draw at 29%.

Recent form

ArdsLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. L
  3. D
  4. D
  5. L

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2
Moyola ParkLast 5 matches
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. D
  5. L

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
3
Goals scored · per match
Ards0.8
Moyola Park1.2
Goals conceded · per match
Ards1.4
Moyola Park2

Shared goals scale: 0–2 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
Ards5
Moyola Park4

Ards come in with the better recent form (5 points to 4). Their combined scoring average is 2.0 goals per game, suggesting tighter matches lately.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
Ards1,472.9
Moyola Park1,430.8

Scale: 0–1500 Elo · Rating gap: 42.1. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Ards sit at 1473 and Moyola Park at 1431. Ards hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.