Arbil vs Gaz Al-Shamal prediction and preview (30 Oct 2026)
Arbil–
Gaz Al-ShamalFriday 30 October 2026, 09:00 UTC: Arbil welcome Gaz Al-Shamal in the Irak Ligi. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.
Final result
Arbil 1 – 1 Gaz Al-Shamal
The match finished Arbil 1-1 Gaz Al-Shamal. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Arbil (52%); that call did not come off. The model had given the actual result a 28% chance. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.
What the model says
Arbil go in as slight favourites (52%). A Gaz Al-Shamal win is rated at 20% and a draw at 28%.
Recent form
- L
- W
- D
- L
- L
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 3
- D
- D
- D
- L
- W
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 3
- Losses
- 1
Shared goals scale: 0–1.2 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
Gaz Al-Shamal come in with the better recent form (6 points to 4). Their combined scoring average is 1.6 goals per game, suggesting tighter matches lately.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 70.4. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Arbil sit at 1568 and Gaz Al-Shamal at 1497. Arbil hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.