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Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal prediction and preview (16 Oct 2026)

Published: 15 October 2026 · Updated: 31 October 2026

Al Riyadh–Al Hilal

Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal is on the Pro Lig schedule for Saturday 19 December 2026 (14:45 UTC). We have put together the model's probabilities and how both sides have performed in their recent matches.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Al Riyadh0%
Draw6.5%
Al Hilal93.5%

The model sees a clear edge for Al Hilal: a 93% chance of a Al Hilal win, against 0% for Al Riyadh and 7% for a draw.

Recent form

Al RiyadhLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. D
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Al HilalLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
5
Draws
0
Losses
0
Goals scored · per match
Al Riyadh1
Al Hilal3
Goals conceded · per match
Al Riyadh1.8
Al Hilal0.8

Shared goals scale: 0–3 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
Al Riyadh7
Al Hilal15

Al Hilal come in with the better recent form (15 points to 7). Their combined scoring average is 4.0 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
Al Riyadh1,423.3
Al Hilal1,749.7

Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 326.4. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Al Riyadh sit at 1423 and Al Hilal at 1750. On paper, Al Hilal are clearly the stronger side. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.