AEK vs Real Madrid prediction and preview (4 Nov 2026)
AEK–
Real MadridAEK host Real Madrid in the Şampiyonlar Ligi on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC. Here is how the MatchScoreAI statistical model sees the match before a ball is kicked.
What the model says
AEK go in as slight favourites (55%). A Real Madrid win is rated at 21% and a draw at 24%.
Recent form
- D
- W
- W
- L
- L
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 2
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 2
- L
- L
- W
- W
- W
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 0
- Losses
- 2
Shared goals scale: 0–2.8 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
Real Madrid come in with the better recent form (9 points to 7). Their combined scoring average is 4.2 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 92.5. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), AEK sit at 1497 and Real Madrid at 1590. Real Madrid hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.